The federal reserve lowered it’s interest rate to zero, using its nuclear option to help us get out of this struggling economy. If this doesn’t work, is the end near? Not necessarily, part two of the Fed’s plan is to start buying bad debt to take the strangle hold off of lenders so we can get money circulating back into the economy again.
Does this mean our interest rates are going to be lower for the deals we are about to do? Unfortunately Virgina, there is no Santa Claus, you see, there are three types of lenders who will give us money to do our deals; local banks, national banks and conduits.
Local banks have the highest interest rates and shorter amortization schedules, thus higher payments, which gives us lower cash flow. National lenders sell their loans to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, more about them in a minute. Conduit lenders are the institutions on Wall Street. These are the guys who got us in this mess in the first place!! Not only that, they all are pretty much out of business at this point.
Because of this, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have no competition. They used to be kept in check by competing with the Conduits. The interest rates on commercial properties are based on the 10 year treasury note, the difference between the interest rate we are charged and the 10 year treasury note is called “the spread”.
It used to be the spread was only 1.75 – 2 points higher than the note, the conduits were usually 2 – 2.25. A little higher than Freddie and Fannie but they were much more aggressive in their lending practices (this is what got them in trouble). With no competition, Fannie and Freddie are setting their spreads at 3 points and more off of the 10 year treasury.
Rates will remain about the same…hovering around the 6% range for the next six months or so, the good news is, they are not going up….raising interest rates means rising cap rates which means a loss in value.
Hopefully the lower rates and the Fed buying bad debt will lube the economy and get consumers spending again, soon!
Hey, it’s a great time to be a buyer of real estate, this window of opportunity comes around every 15 years or so…don’t miss this one!
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